Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.727283 6.277309 6.881472 7.598936 8.433775 9.382093 10.551750
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.938993 5.691904 6.585642 7.743523 9.232913 11.127388 13.794968
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.368249 5.187521 6.207275 7.604085 9.526306 12.177230 16.310253
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.995125 4.854657 5.964695 7.554632 9.869122 13.294009 19.161643
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.665711 4.532147 5.683005 7.389988 9.990000 14.071275 21.671275
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.439851 4.320132 5.519851 7.358338 10.283032 15.151201 25.042354
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.248576 4.135417 5.371418 7.321075 10.547464 16.221794 28.789215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.143406 4.059686 5.367857 7.497879 11.182719 18.092565 35.113878
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.948051 3.839752 5.131090 7.274136 11.083773 18.523210 38.195100
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.770398 3.633928 4.899485 7.033915 10.918065 18.778255 40.955834
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.633087 3.479004 4.734144 6.886985 10.902959 19.349614 44.990562
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.519847 3.353221 4.604898 6.788170 10.964293 20.105531 50.141143
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.497641 3.370716 4.714089 7.137979 12.020106 23.658282 69.561876
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.428063 3.312621 4.699548 7.270211 12.670910 26.518763 91.478460
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.316699 3.182068 4.554954 7.143226 12.730888 27.773575 107.865458
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.230013 3.085219 4.459278 7.098164 12.969298 29.678892 133.778233
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.132688 2.966035 4.317351 6.948042 12.933732 30.710939 156.966075
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.063124 2.887873 4.240597 6.919167 13.189964 32.880400 201.643650
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.997998 2.813488 4.165301 6.885163 13.428284 35.133485 264.201140
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.967017 2.793326 4.183851 7.046433 14.212511 40.056729 436.831695
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.884908 2.684369 4.036610 6.842320 13.964000 40.432164 516.097148
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.805646 2.577208 3.887475 6.622867 13.642383 40.367390 591.386072
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.743052 2.495726 3.781186 6.488480 13.546110 41.381988 758.622059